Diaper Reveal data

Gender reveal statistics

Short answer: at 59 live online gender reveal parties, guests guessed the baby's gender right 50% of the time, about the same as a coin toss. Below is everything we counted, from real parties played since August 30, 2026.

Last updated October 24, 2026 · updated daily

Can family guess the gender?

Every guest picks team pink (girl) or team blue (boy) when they join. Across 109 guesses, 54 were right: 50%. Hunches, bump shape and old wives' tales don't do better than chance. If your family wants to try anyway, the old wives' tales quiz and the Chinese gender predictor are fun, as long as nobody takes them seriously.

Where the parties were

Parties were hosted from 17 countries and played in 6 languages. Guests often join from other countries than the host.

Host countryParties
United Arab Emirates15
Paraguay4
Australia3
Brazil3
Canada3
Kuwait3
Egypt2
Kazakhstan2
Chile1
France1
Party languageParties
English38
Spanish8
Arabic5
Brazilian Portuguese3
French3
Russian2

Questions people ask

How often do guests guess the baby's gender correctly?
In 59 live gender reveal parties on Diaper Reveal, guests picked the right team 50% of the time (54 of 109 guesses). That is close to a coin toss: guessing a baby's sex is about as reliable as flipping a coin.
Do more people guess boy or girl at a gender reveal?
50% of guests joined team pink (girl) and 50% team blue (boy), across 109 guesses.
How many guests come to an online gender reveal?
On average 1.8 guests besides the host joined each party; the biggest had 8. There is no guest limit.
Are more babies boys or girls?
Worldwide, slightly more boys are born than girls, roughly 105 boys for every 100 girls. Our own party numbers are a small sample and are not a measure of birth rates.

How we count

You're welcome to quote these figures with a link to this page.

Add your party to the numbers

A free live gender reveal game for family anywhere: everyone guesses, races and finds out at the same second. No app, 24 languages.

Create your free reveal