Diaper Reveal data story · published November 8, 2026
Pink or blue? What 734 guests guessed at online gender reveals
Short answer: almost an even split. Across 351 online gender reveal parties (June 11, 2026 to November 7, 2026), guests made 734 guesses: 353 pink (48%) and 381 blue (52%). Counted per party, 173 parties leaned pink, 145 leaned blue and 33 tied. The country differences below come from small samples and a few big parties, so read them as colour, not as a trend.
Guesses by host country
Only countries with at least five parties that had a guest guess are shown. "Largest party" is the most guests in any one party there: when it is large next to the total, one party sets the result.
| Country | Parties | Pink | Blue | Pink share | Largest party |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| United Arab Emirates | 23 | 13 | 15 | 46% | 3 guests |
| Brazil | 16 | 12 | 8 | 60% | 4 guests |
| Saudi Arabia | 15 | 26 | 6 | 81% | 17 guests |
| United States | 15 | 15 | 11 | 58% | 8 guests |
| France | 12 | 22 | 11 | 67% | 13 guests |
| Kuwait | 7 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 2 guests |
| Jamaica | 6 | 5 | 43 | 10% | 13 guests |
| Paraguay | 6 | 7 | 6 | 54% | 6 guests |
| Canada | 5 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 2 guests |
| Spain | 5 | 15 | 22 | 41% | 31 guests |
The United States (15 pink to 11 blue) and France sit mildly pink; the UAE, the busiest market by parties, split 13 pink to 15 blue. Jamaica (43 blue to 5 pink, largest party 13 guests) and Saudi Arabia (26 pink to 6 blue, largest party 17) are the loudest outliers, and each is mostly one family agreeing with itself. Spain (15 pink to 22 blue) has one party of 31 guests inside 5 parties.
Guesses by party language
| Language | Parties | Pink | Blue | Pink share |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| English | 217 | 210 | 269 | 44% |
| Spanish | 54 | 55 | 59 | 48% |
| Arabic | 26 | 34 | 10 | 77% |
| Brazilian Portuguese | 21 | 16 | 13 | 55% |
| French | 17 | 24 | 18 | 57% |
| Indonesian | 8 | 4 | 6 | 40% |
| Russian | 6 | 6 | 1 | 86% |
Questions people ask
- Do more guests guess pink or blue at gender reveal parties?
- On Diaper Reveal it is close to even. Of 734 guest guesses in 351 parties (June 11, 2026 to November 7, 2026), 353 (48%) were pink and 381 (52%) were blue. By party, 173 had a pink majority, 145 a blue majority and 33 were tied.
- Which countries guess pink most often?
- Among countries with at least five parties that had guesses, Saudi Arabia leaned pink (26 pink, 6 blue) and Jamaica leaned blue (5 pink, 43 blue). Both are driven by one or two large parties, so treat country gaps as stories about families, not national tendencies.
- Does a guess predict the baby's gender?
- We do not publish revealed genders and this page does not measure accuracy. A guess is a vote for the party game, nothing more.
- Can I quote these numbers?
- Yes. Credit Diaper Reveal and link to this page. The figures are counts from our own database, not a survey, and the sample is small.
How we counted
- A guess is the pink or blue team a guest chose when joining a party. The host is not counted. Internal test parties are excluded. 734 guesses from 351 parties, June 11, 2026 to November 7, 2026.
- Country is the host's country where recorded. Only totals are published: no names, party codes, emails or the baby's revealed gender. Nothing is estimated.
- Guests in one party often copy each other, so 351 parties is the honest sample size, not 734. This is a snapshot from one young website, not a study. Related: the 2026 party data report and gender reveal statistics.
Quote freely under CC BY 4.0: credit Diaper Reveal and link here.
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